Riding profile
Vancouver Granville
The question
Vancouver Granville: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 47.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Green | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVancouver Granville | 68.5% | 20.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +20.8 | 33.6% −12.7 | 3.0% −1.2 | 8.4% −7.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +20.5 | 32.1% −11.2 | 2.7% −0.9 | 10.6% −9.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Vancouver Granville, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 33-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 68% vote share, against 21% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Taleeb Noormohamed
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taleeb Noormohamed Elected | Liberal | 37,010 | 62.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Marie Rogers | Conservative | 17,133 | 28.8 | Business Woman |
| Sukhi Singh Sahota | NDP | 4,489 | 7.5 | Finance Coordinator |
| Jerry Kroll | Green | 945 | 1.6 | Business Person |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 75.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 24.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46