Riding profile
Surrey Centre
The question
Surrey Centre: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
Surrey Centre, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 37% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Randeep Sarai
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSurrey Centre | 47.4% | 37.1% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 41.9% +5.4 | 35.8% +1.3 | 10.6% −6.9 | 1.0% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +5.5 | 34.8% +2.3 | 14.2% −10.5 | 1.0% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randeep Sarai Elected | Liberal | 19,900 | 48.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Rajvir Dhillon | Conservative | 17,920 | 43.2 | Lawyer |
| Dominic Denofrio | NDP | 2,811 | 6.8 | Constituency Assistant |
| Krishan Khurana | Green | 395 | 1.0 | Customer Service |
| Beverly Tanchak | PPC | 246 | 0.6 | Retired |
| Ryan Abbott | Other | 182 | 0.4 | Industrial Painter |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 53.8%
- Non-francophone (other) 46.2%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46