Riding profile
Fleetwood--Port Kells
The question
Fleetwood--Port Kells: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | PPC | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFleetwood--Port Kells | 52.8% | 36.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +5.1 | 33.6% +2.8 | 1.1% +0.5 | 3.0% −1.8 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +4.8 | 32.1% +4.3 | 1.0% +0.6 | 2.7% −1.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Fleetwood--Port Kells, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 53% vote share, against 36% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gurbux Saini
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gurbux Saini Elected | Liberal | 23,250 | 47.9 | Businessman |
| Sukh Pandher | Conservative | 21,439 | 44.2 | Businessman |
| Shannon Permal | NDP | 2,885 | 5.9 | Court Clerk |
| John Hetherington | PPC | 499 | 1.0 | Artist |
| Murali Krishnan | Green | 460 | 0.9 | Notary Public |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 57.3%
- Non-francophone (other) 42.7%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46