Riding profile

Cloverdale--Langley City

Federal riding — BC · Suburban · vancouver metro

The question

Cloverdale--Langley City: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Cloverdale--Langley City, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 46% vote share, against 42% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Tamara Jansen

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Toss-up

Probability
95%
Mean margin (pts)
3.5
P(close race)
78%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 45.6%
  • Conservative 42.2%
  • NDP 2.6%
  • PPC 1.1%
  • Green 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
HereCloverdale--Langley City 45.6%42.2%2.6%1.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 41.9% +3.7 35.8% +6.4 10.6% −8.0 1.0% +0.1
National averageCanada 41.9% +3.7 34.8% +7.4 14.2% −11.6 1.0% +0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
1.4 pts
Turnout
64.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.0 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Tamara Jansen Elected Conservative 25,606 47.8 Retired
Kyle Latchford Liberal 24,828 46.4 Senior Advisor
Vanessa Sharma NDP 2,350 4.4 Unemployed
Kevin Daniel Wilkie Green 493 0.9 Business Development
Jim McMurtry PPC 289 0.5 Teacher

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 81.5%
  • Non-francophone (other) 18.5%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46