Riding profile
Cloverdale--Langley City
The question
Cloverdale--Langley City: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | Green | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCloverdale--Langley City | 51.3% | 40.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +3.7 | 33.6% +6.5 | 3.0% −1.9 | 1.1% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +3.3 | 32.1% +8.0 | 2.7% −1.6 | 1.0% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Cloverdale--Langley City, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 51% vote share, against 40% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Tamara Jansen
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamara Jansen Elected | Conservative | 25,606 | 47.8 | Retired |
| Kyle Latchford | Liberal | 24,828 | 46.4 | Senior Advisor |
| Vanessa Sharma | NDP | 2,350 | 4.4 | Unemployed |
| Kevin Daniel Wilkie | Green | 493 | 0.9 | Business Development |
| Jim McMurtry | PPC | 289 | 0.5 | Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 81.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 18.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46