Riding profile
South Surrey--White Rock
The question
South Surrey--White Rock: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Editorial read
South Surrey--White Rock, an urban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 50% vote share, against 40% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ernie Klassen
Sits with Liberal
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSouth Surrey--White Rock | 50.0% | 39.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 41.9% +8.1 | 35.8% +3.9 | 10.6% −8.0 | 2.6% −1.3 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +8.1 | 34.8% +4.9 | 14.2% −11.6 | 2.1% −0.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ernie Klassen Elected | Liberal | 33,094 | 50.5 | Self-Employed Florist |
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay | Conservative | 29,924 | 45.7 | Parliamentarian |
| Jureun Park | NDP | 1,634 | 2.5 | Hotel Manager |
| Christine Kinnie | Green | 875 | 1.3 | Secretary, School District 36 |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 80.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 19.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46