Riding profile

Langley Township--Fraser Heights

Federal riding — BC · Suburban · vancouver metro

The question

Langley Township--Fraser Heights: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Langley Township--Fraser Heights, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 46% vote share, against 42% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Tako Van Popta

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
95%
Mean margin (pts)
3.7
P(close race)
74%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 45.8%
  • Liberal 42.2%
  • NDP 2.5%
  • PPC 1.0%
  • Green 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP PPC
HereLangley Township--Fraser Heights 45.8%42.2%2.5%1.0%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 35.8% +10.0 41.9% +0.3 10.6% −8.1 1.0%
National averageCanada 34.8% +11.0 41.9% +0.3 14.2% −11.7 1.0%

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
8.4 pts
Turnout
70.6%
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.7 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Tako Van Popta Elected Conservative 33,574 51.4 Parliamentarian
John Aldag Liberal 28,034 42.9 Former Parliamentarian
Holly Isaac NDP 2,611 4.0 Relief Postal Worker
Debora Soutar Green 491 0.8 Retired
Alex Joehl Other 347 0.5 Meat Department Manager
Sepehr Haghighat PPC 303 0.5 Biologist

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 81.0%
  • Non-francophone (other) 19.0%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46