Riding profile
Abbotsford--South Langley
The question
Abbotsford--South Langley: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Liberal
Toss-up
- Probability
- 94%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.6
- P(close race)
- 75%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | PPC | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAbbotsford--South Langley | 39.1% | 35.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% −8.5 | 33.6% +2.1 | 1.1% +0.3 | 3.0% −1.7 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% −8.9 | 32.1% +3.6 | 1.0% +0.4 | 2.7% −1.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Abbotsford--South Langley, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 39% vote share, against 36% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sukhman Gill
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sukhman Gill Elected | Conservative | 24,116 | 43.1 | Farm and Office Manager |
| Kevin Gillies | Liberal | 18,969 | 33.9 | Real Estate Agent |
| Michael de Jong | Independent | 9,747 | 17.4 | Provincial Parliamentarian |
| Dharmasena Yakandawela | NDP | 2,104 | 3.8 | Barrister and Solicitor |
| Melissa Snazell | Green | 577 | 1.0 | Registered Pharmacy Technician |
| Aeriol Alderking | PPC | 459 | 0.8 | Retired |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 79.2%
- Non-francophone (other) 20.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46