Riding profile

Abbotsford--South Langley

Federal riding — BC · Suburban · vancouver metro

The question

Abbotsford--South Langley: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Abbotsford--South Langley, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 38% vote share, against 33% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Sukhman Gill

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
97%
Mean margin (pts)
4.4
P(close race)
61%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 37.8%
  • Liberal 33.5%
  • NDP 2.5%
  • PPC 1.3%
  • Green 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP PPC
HereAbbotsford--South Langley 37.8%33.5%2.5%1.3%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 35.8% +2.0 41.9% −8.5 10.6% −8.1 1.0% +0.4
National averageCanada 34.8% +3.0 41.9% −8.4 14.2% −11.7 1.0% +0.3

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
9.1 pts
Turnout
66.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.7 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Sukhman Gill Elected Conservative 24,116 43.1 Farm and Office Manager
Kevin Gillies Liberal 18,969 33.9 Real Estate Agent
Michael de Jong Independent 9,747 17.4 Provincial Parliamentarian
Dharmasena Yakandawela NDP 2,104 3.8 Barrister and Solicitor
Melissa Snazell Green 577 1.0 Registered Pharmacy Technician
Aeriol Alderking PPC 459 0.8 Retired

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 79.2%
  • Non-francophone (other) 20.8%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46