Riding profile

Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge

Federal riding — BC · Suburban · vancouver metro

The question

Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 42% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Marc Dalton

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Toss-up

Probability
93%
Mean margin (pts)
3.2
P(close race)
82%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 45.0%
  • Conservative 41.9%
  • NDP 3.1%
  • PPC 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP PPC
HerePitt Meadows--Maple Ridge 45.0%41.9%3.1%1.1%
Provincial averageBritish Columbia 41.9% +3.0 35.8% +6.1 10.6% −7.5 1.0% +0.1
National averageCanada 41.9% +3.1 34.8% +7.1 14.2% −11.1 1.0% +0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
1.8 pts
Turnout
72.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.4 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Marc Dalton Elected Conservative 31,924 47.4 Parliamentarian
Angie Rowell Liberal 30,728 45.6 Account Manager
Daniel Heydenrych NDP 4,141 6.2 Security Consultant
Chris Lehner PPC 368 0.5 Database Systems Administrator
Peter Buddle Other 172 0.3 Retired Teacher

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 90.5%
  • Non-francophone (other) 9.5%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46