Riding profile
Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge
The question
Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | PPC | NDP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePitt Meadows--Maple Ridge | 50.7% | 39.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Provincial averageBritish Columbia | 47.6% +3.1 | 33.6% +6.2 | 1.1% +0.1 | 8.4% −7.6 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +2.7 | 32.1% +7.7 | 1.0% +0.1 | 10.6% −9.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Pitt Meadows--Maple Ridge, a suburban riding in British Columbia, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 51% vote share, against 40% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Marc Dalton
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Dalton Elected | Conservative | 31,924 | 47.4 | Parliamentarian |
| Angie Rowell | Liberal | 30,728 | 45.6 | Account Manager |
| Daniel Heydenrych | NDP | 4,141 | 6.2 | Security Consultant |
| Chris Lehner | PPC | 368 | 0.5 | Database Systems Administrator |
| Peter Buddle | Other | 172 | 0.3 | Retired Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 90.5%
- Non-francophone (other) 9.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46