Riding profile
Yukon
The question
Yukon: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 24.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereYukon | 54.7% | 30.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| Provincial averageYukon | 54.7% | 30.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +6.7 | 32.1% −1.9 | 10.6% −7.4 | 2.7% +0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Yukon, a rural riding in Yukon, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 55% vote share, against 30% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 3% francophone, 92% anglophone.
Sitting member
Brendan Hanley
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Hanley Elected | Liberal | 12,009 | 53.1 | Parliamentarian |
| Ryan Leef | Conservative | 8,719 | 38.5 | Consultant |
| Katherine McCallum | NDP | 1,434 | 6.3 | Artistic Executive Director |
| Gabrielle Dupont | Green | 474 | 2.1 | Draftsperson |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 2.7%
- Anglophone 91.6%
- Non-francophone (other) 5.7%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46