Riding profile
Northwest Territories
The question
Northwest Territories: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 30.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorthwest Territories | 54.8% | 24.8% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| Provincial averageNorthwest Territories | 54.8% | 24.8% | 8.3% | 1.8% |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +6.8 | 32.1% −7.3 | 10.6% −2.3 | 2.7% −0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Northwest Territories, a rural riding in Northwest Territories, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 55% vote share, against 25% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 2% francophone, 90% anglophone.
Sitting member
Rebecca Alty
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rebecca Alty Elected | Liberal | 8,855 | 53.5 | Mayor |
| Kimberly Fairman | Conservative | 5,513 | 33.3 | Health Policy Researcher |
| Kelvin Kotchilea | NDP | 2,011 | 12.2 | Public Servant |
| Rainbow Eyes | Green | 170 | 1.0 | Band Councillor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 1.6%
- Anglophone 89.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 8.5%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46