Riding profile

Northwest Territories

Federal riding — NT · Rural · territories

The question

Northwest Territories: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Northwest Territories, a rural riding in Northwest Territories, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 20-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 51% vote share, against 27% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 2% francophone, 90% anglophone.

Sitting member

Rebecca Alty

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
24.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 51.3%
  • Conservative 27.2%
  • NDP 10.0%
  • Green 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereNorthwest Territories 51.3%27.2%10.0%1.4%
Provincial averageNorthwest Territories 51.3% 27.2% 10.0% 1.4%
National averageCanada 41.9% +9.4 34.8% −7.6 14.2% −4.2 2.1% −0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
19.9 pts
Turnout
54.9%
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.1 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Rebecca Alty Elected Liberal 8,855 53.5 Mayor
Kimberly Fairman Conservative 5,513 33.3 Health Policy Researcher
Kelvin Kotchilea NDP 2,011 12.2 Public Servant
Rainbow Eyes Green 170 1.0 Band Councillor

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 1.6%
  • Anglophone 89.9%
  • Non-francophone (other) 8.5%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46