Riding profile
Nunavut
The question
Nunavut: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | NDP | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNunavut | 42.2% | 33.9% | 17.6% | 0.8% |
| Provincial averageNunavut | 42.2% | 33.9% | 17.6% | 0.8% |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% −5.8 | 10.6% +23.3 | 32.1% −14.5 | 2.7% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Nunavut, a rural riding in Nunavut, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 1-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 42% vote share, against 34% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 52% anglophone.
Sitting member
Lori Idlout
Sits with Liberal
Elected as NDP · floor_crossingon2026-03-11
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lori Idlout Elected | NDP | 2,853 | 37.3 | Political Candidate |
| Kilikvak Kabloona | Liberal | 2,812 | 36.7 | Nunavut Tunngavik Inc. Executive |
| James T. Arreak | Conservative | 1,992 | 26.0 | Administrator |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 1.0%
- Anglophone 51.9%
- Non-francophone (other) 47.1%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46