Riding profile

Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River

Federal riding — SK · Rural · sk rural

The question

Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?

Editorial read

Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River, a rural riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 66% vote share, against 13% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 81% anglophone.

Sitting member

Buckley Belanger

Sits with Liberal

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Liberal

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
53.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Liberal 66.0%
  • Conservative 12.6%
  • NDP 5.1%
  • Green 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Liberal Conservative NDP Green
HereDesnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River 66.0%12.6%5.1%0.8%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 30.6% +35.4 50.9% −38.3 4.4% +0.7 1.2% −0.5
National averageCanada 41.9% +24.1 34.8% −22.2 14.2% −9.1 2.1% −1.4

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Liberal
Margin
39.2 pts
Turnout
36.3%
Margin shift vs current projection
+14.2 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Buckley Belanger Elected Liberal 5,876 65.1 Mayor
Jim Lemaigre Conservative 2,301 25.5 Senior Advisor
Doug Racine NDP 850 9.4 Lawyer

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.1%
  • Anglophone 81.1%
  • Non-francophone (other) 18.8%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46