Riding profile
Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River
The question
Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River: a safe seat for the Liberal Party?
Current forecast
Liberal
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 58.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDesnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River | 69.0% | 10.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 35.5% +33.5 | 49.1% −38.5 | 2.6% +1.0 | 1.5% −0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 48.0% +21.0 | 32.1% −21.5 | 10.6% −7.0 | 2.7% −1.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Desnethé--Missinippi--Churchill River, a rural riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Liberal Party in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 69% vote share, against 11% for the Conservative Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 81% anglophone.
Sitting member
Buckley Belanger
Sits with Liberal
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buckley Belanger Elected | Liberal | 5,876 | 65.1 | Mayor |
| Jim Lemaigre | Conservative | 2,301 | 25.5 | Senior Advisor |
| Doug Racine | NDP | 850 | 9.4 | Lawyer |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.1%
- Anglophone 81.1%
- Non-francophone (other) 18.8%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46