Riding profile
Battlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake
The question
Battlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 37.4
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBattlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake | 60.5% | 23.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 49.1% +11.4 | 35.5% −12.3 | 2.6% −1.4 | 1.5% −0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +28.4 | 48.0% −24.9 | 10.6% −9.4 | 2.7% −1.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Battlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake, a rural riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 57-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 61% vote share, against 23% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Rosemarie Falk
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosemarie Falk Elected | Conservative | 28,634 | 75.8 | Parliamentarian |
| Larry Ingram | Liberal | 7,073 | 18.7 | Retired Sheet Metal Worker |
| William Petryk | NDP | 1,816 | 4.8 | Accountant |
| Darrell Patan | Other | 264 | 0.7 | Sole Proprietor |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 94.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 5.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46