Riding profile

Battlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake

Federal riding — SK · Rural · sk rural

The question

Battlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?

Editorial read

Battlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake, a rural riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 57-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 63% vote share, against 20% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Rosemarie Falk

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Current forecast

Conservative

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
42.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 62.5%
  • Liberal 20.2%
  • NDP 2.7%
  • Green 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP Green
HereBattlefords--Lloydminster--Meadow Lake 62.5%20.2%2.7%0.8%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 50.9% +11.6 30.6% −10.4 4.4% −1.7 1.2% −0.5
National averageCanada 34.8% +27.7 41.9% −21.7 14.2% −11.5 2.1% −1.4

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · FED 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
56.6 pts
Turnout
63.4%
Margin shift vs current projection
-14.2 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Rosemarie Falk Elected Conservative 28,634 75.8 Parliamentarian
Larry Ingram Liberal 7,073 18.7 Retired Sheet Metal Worker
William Petryk NDP 1,816 4.8 Accountant
Darrell Patan Other 264 0.7 Sole Proprietor

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 94.4%
  • Non-francophone (other) 5.6%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46