Riding profile

Saskatoon West

Federal riding — SK · Urban · sk urban

The question

Saskatoon West: who wins this toss-up?

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
80%
Mean margin (pts)
2.6
P(close race)
87%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 40.5%
  • Liberal 38.4%
  • NDP 12.4%
  • Green 2.0%
  • PPC 0.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. North Island--Powell RiverConservative45 %1.2 pt margin
  2. Central NewfoundlandConservative57 %1.4 pt margin
  3. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55 %1.4 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP Green
HereSaskatoon West 40.5%38.4%12.4%2.0%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 49.1% −8.5 35.5% +2.9 2.6% +9.8 1.5% +0.5
National averageCanada 32.1% +8.4 48.0% −9.6 10.6% +1.8 2.7% −0.7

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Saskatoon West, an urban riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 25-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 41% vote share, against 38% for the Liberal Party, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Brad Redekopp

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Previous election · 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
25.1 pts
Turnout
59.1%
Margin shift vs current projection
-22.5 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Brad Redekopp Elected Conservative 19,814 52.7 Businessman
Chad Eggerman Liberal 10,254 27.2 Lawyer
Rachel Loewen Walker NDP 7,187 19.1 Professor
Naomi Hunter Green 376 1.0 Farmer

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Anglophone 85.7%
  • Non-francophone (other) 14.3%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46