Riding profile

Prince Albert

Federal riding — SK · Mixed · sk urban

The question

Prince Albert: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?

Current forecast

Conservative

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
32.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 56.2%
  • Liberal 23.5%
  • NDP 2.3%
  • Green 1.1%
  • PPC 0.7%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. North Island--Powell RiverConservative45 %1.2 pt margin
  2. Central NewfoundlandConservative57 %1.4 pt margin
  3. Richmond Hill SouthLiberal55 %1.4 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Liberal NDP Green
HerePrince Albert 56.2%23.5%2.3%1.1%
Provincial averageSaskatchewan 49.1% +7.1 35.5% −11.9 2.6% −0.2 1.5% −0.5
National averageCanada 32.1% +24.1 48.0% −24.5 10.6% −8.3 2.7% −1.7

Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

Prince Albert, a mixed riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 52-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 56% vote share, against 24% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 96% anglophone.

Sitting member

Randy Hoback

Sits with Conservative

Since
2025-04-28
Parliament
45th

Previous election · 2025

Won by
Conservative
Margin
51.8 pts
Turnout
61.7%
Margin shift vs current projection
-19.2 pts

Detailed result · FED 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Randy Hoback Elected Conservative 27,763 71.5 Parliamentarian
Christopher Hadubiak Liberal 7,451 19.2 Senior Field Organizer
Virginia Kutzan NDP 3,630 9.3 Retired

Demographics

Who lives here

Linguistic profile

  • Francophone 0.4%
  • Anglophone 95.5%
  • Non-francophone (other) 4.1%

Data source : Statistics Canada — 2021 Census

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fed_46