Riding profile
Saskatoon South
The question
Saskatoon South: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Saskatoon South, an urban riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 44% vote share, against 39% for the Conservative Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Kevin Waugh
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Liberal
Toss-up
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.2
- P(close race)
- 49%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaskatoon South | 44.0% | 38.9% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 30.6% +13.5 | 50.9% −12.0 | 4.4% +0.1 | 1.2% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +2.1 | 34.8% +4.1 | 14.2% −9.7 | 2.1% −0.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Waugh Elected | Conservative | 24,516 | 49.3 | Parliamentarian |
| Rokhan Sarwar | Liberal | 20,107 | 40.4 | Retail Manager |
| Jacob Gadzella | NDP | 4,515 | 9.1 | Digital Communications Specialist |
| Hamish Graham | Green | 310 | 0.6 | Farmer |
| Richard Brent Wintringham | PPC | 308 | 0.6 | Truck Driver |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 87.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 12.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46