Riding profile
Swift Current--Grasslands--Kindersley
The question
Swift Current--Grasslands--Kindersley: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 51.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSwift Current--Grasslands--Kindersley | 66.8% | 15.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 49.1% +17.7 | 35.5% −19.8 | 2.6% −1.1 | 1.5% −0.5 |
| National averageCanada | 32.1% +34.6 | 48.0% −32.3 | 10.6% −9.2 | 2.7% −1.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Swift Current--Grasslands--Kindersley, a rural riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 70-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 67% vote share, against 16% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 0% francophone, 90% anglophone.
Sitting member
Jeremy Patzer
Sits with Conservative
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Patzer Elected | Conservative | 32,292 | 82.0 | Parliamentarian |
| William Caton | Liberal | 4,420 | 11.2 | Rancher |
| Alex McPhee | NDP | 2,250 | 5.7 | Cartographer |
| Maria Rose Lewans | Independent | 426 | 1.1 | Plumber |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.2%
- Anglophone 89.8%
- Non-francophone (other) 10.0%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46