Riding profile
Saskatoon--University
The question
Saskatoon--University: will Conservative lose this seat to Liberal?
Editorial read
Saskatoon--University, an urban riding in Saskatchewan, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Liberal Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 39% for the Conservative Party, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Corey Tochor
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Liberal
Competitive
- Probability
- 99%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.5
- P(close race)
- 31%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Liberal | Conservative | NDP | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaskatoon--University | 45.1% | 38.6% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Provincial averageSaskatchewan | 30.6% +14.5 | 50.9% −12.4 | 4.4% | 1.2% +0.1 |
| National averageCanada | 41.9% +3.2 | 34.8% +3.8 | 14.2% −9.8 | 2.1% −0.8 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Tochor Elected | Conservative | 23,178 | 48.9 | Parliamentarian |
| Greg Poelzer | Liberal | 19,622 | 41.4 | University Professor |
| Melissa McGillivray | NDP | 4,035 | 8.5 | Registered Nurse |
| Jaxson Boot | PPC | 327 | 0.7 | Self-Employed Equipment Operator |
| Isaiah Hunter | Green | 263 | 0.6 | University Student |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Anglophone 88.4%
- Non-francophone (other) 11.6%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46