Riding profile
Lakeland
The question
Lakeland: a safe seat for the Conservative Party?
Editorial read
Lakeland, a rural riding in Alberta, elected a member with the Conservative Party in the previous cycle, with a 69-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservative Party ahead at 60% vote share, against 16% for the Liberal Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible. Linguistic profile: 1% francophone, 94% anglophone.
Sitting member
Shannon Stubbs
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 43.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Liberal | NDP | PPC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLakeland | 59.7% | 16.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageAlberta | 44.0% +15.7 | 35.7% −19.5 | 7.2% −3.4 | 1.3% +0.9 |
| National averageCanada | 34.8% +24.9 | 41.9% −25.7 | 14.2% −10.4 | 1.0% +1.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 343 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · FED 2025
Detailed result · FED 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shannon Stubbs Elected | Conservative | 45,826 | 81.0 | Parliamentarian |
| Barry Milaney | Liberal | 6,886 | 12.2 | Retired |
| Des Bissonnette | NDP | 2,153 | 3.8 | Receptionist |
| Michael Manchen | PPC | 982 | 1.7 | President |
| Bridget Burns | Green | 411 | 0.7 | Event Organizer |
| Micheal Speirs | Other | 335 | 0.6 | Teacher |
Demographics
Who lives here
Linguistic profile
- Francophone 0.6%
- Anglophone 94.0%
- Non-francophone (other) 5.4%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
fed_46