Riding profile
Brantford—Brant
The question
Brantford—Brant: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | NDP | OLP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrantford—Brant | 46.8% | 24.2% | 21.1% | 4.4% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.4% +5.3 | 19.5% +4.6 | 32.3% −11.2 | 4.0% +0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Brantford—Brant, a rural riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 24% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Will Bouma
Sits with PC
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WILL BOUMA Elected | PC | 24,169 | 47.2 | — |
| HARVEY BISCHOF | NDP | 12,005 | 23.5 | — |
| RON FOX | OLP | 10,364 | 20.3 | — |
| KARLEIGH CSORDAS | GP | 2,597 | 5.1 | — |
| JOSHUA CARRON | OTH | 1,138 | 2.2 | — |
| ROB FERGUSON | OTH | 500 | 1.0 | — |
| MIKE CLANCY | OTH | 316 | 0.6 | — |
| JAMES CARRUTHERS | OTH | 83 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029