Riding profile
Brantford—Brant
The question
Brantford—Brant: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Brantford—Brant, a rural riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 46% vote share, against 25% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Will Bouma
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | NDP | OLP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBrantford—Brant | 45.8% | 25.0% | 22.0% | 4.6% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +5.6 | 20.3% +4.8 | 33.4% −11.4 | 3.9% +0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WILL BOUMA Elected | PC | 24,169 | 47.2 | — |
| HARVEY BISCHOF | NDP | 12,005 | 23.5 | — |
| RON FOX | OLP | 10,364 | 20.3 | — |
| KARLEIGH CSORDAS | GP | 2,597 | 5.1 | — |
| JOSHUA CARRON | OTH | 1,138 | 2.2 | — |
| ROB FERGUSON | OTH | 500 | 1.0 | — |
| MIKE CLANCY | OTH | 316 | 0.6 | — |
| JAMES CARRUTHERS | OTH | 83 | 0.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029