Riding profile
Flamborough—Glanbrook
The question
Flamborough—Glanbrook: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFlamborough—Glanbrook | 47.3% | 34.7% | 12.7% | 3.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.4% +5.8 | 32.3% +2.5 | 19.5% −6.8 | 4.0% −0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Flamborough—Glanbrook, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 35% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hon. Donna Skelly
Sits with PC
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DONNA SKELLY Elected | PC | 23,790 | 49.4 | — |
| JOSHUA BELL | OLP | 15,135 | 31.4 | — |
| LILLY NOBLE | NDP | 6,095 | 12.7 | — |
| JANET ERRYGERS | GP | 1,923 | 4.0 | — |
| KRISTEN HALFPENNY | OTH | 1,233 | 2.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029