Riding profile

Cambridge

Provincial riding — ON · Mixed · on sw

The question

Cambridge: a safe seat for the PC Party?

Editorial read

Cambridge, a mixed riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 42% vote share, against 36% for the Ontario Liberals, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Brian Riddell

Sits with PC

Parliament
44th

Current forecast

PC

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
6.1
P(close race)
23%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PC 42.3%
  • OLP 36.2%
  • NDP 13.1%
  • GP 5.2%
  • OTH 3.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PC OLP NDP GP
HereCambridge 42.3%36.2%13.1%5.2%
Provincial averageOntario 40.2% +2.0 33.4% +2.8 20.3% −7.2 3.9% +1.3

Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · ON 2025

Won by
PC
Margin
9.3 pts
Turnout
45.8%
Margin shift vs current projection
-3.2 pts

Detailed result · ON 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
BRIAN RIDDELL Elected PC 19,210 43.7 —
ROB DEUTSCHMANN OLP 15,131 34.4 —
MARJORIE KNIGHT NDP 5,074 11.5 —
CARLA JOHNSON GP 2,519 5.7 —
BELINDA KARAHALIOS OTH 2,067 4.7 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
on_2029