Riding profile
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell
The question
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell, a mixed riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 50% vote share, against 40% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Stéphane Sarrazin
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGlengarry—Prescott—Russell | 49.6% | 40.0% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +9.4 | 33.4% +6.7 | 20.3% −14.5 | 2.2% +0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STÉPHANE SARRAZIN Elected | PC | 24,618 | 51.4 | — |
| TREVOR STEWART | OLP | 17,752 | 37.0 | — |
| RYDER FINLAY | NDP | 2,384 | 5.0 | — |
| THAILA RIDEN | GP | 1,089 | 2.3 | — |
| FELIX LABROSSE | OTH | 971 | 2.0 | — |
| BRANDON WALLINGFORD | OTH | 800 | 1.7 | — |
| JASON ST-LOUIS | IND | 321 | 0.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029