Riding profile
Hastings—Lennox and Addington
The question
Hastings—Lennox and Addington: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHastings—Lennox and Addington | 46.4% | 32.6% | 12.2% | 7.3% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.4% +4.9 | 32.3% +0.4 | 19.5% −7.3 | 4.0% +3.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Hastings—Lennox and Addington, a rural riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 46% vote share, against 33% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ric Bresee
Sits with PC
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIC BRESEE Elected | PC | 20,249 | 48.6 | — |
| LYNN RIGBY | OLP | 12,398 | 29.8 | — |
| JESSICA ZIELKE | NDP | 4,810 | 11.5 | — |
| DEREK SLOAN | OTH | 2,318 | 5.6 | — |
| MIKE HOLBROOK | GP | 1,376 | 3.3 | — |
| GLENN TYRRELL | OTH | 528 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029