Riding profile
Hastings—Lennox and Addington
The question
Hastings—Lennox and Addington: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Hastings—Lennox and Addington, a rural riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 44% vote share, against 34% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ric Bresee
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 10.0
- P(close race)
- 4%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHastings—Lennox and Addington | 44.0% | 34.0% | 13.4% | 5.4% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +3.7 | 33.4% +0.6 | 20.3% −6.9 | 2.2% +3.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIC BRESEE Elected | PC | 20,249 | 48.6 | — |
| LYNN RIGBY | OLP | 12,398 | 29.8 | — |
| JESSICA ZIELKE | NDP | 4,810 | 11.5 | — |
| DEREK SLOAN | OTH | 2,318 | 5.6 | — |
| MIKE HOLBROOK | GP | 1,376 | 3.3 | — |
| GLENN TYRRELL | OTH | 528 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029