Riding profile
Kenora—Rainy River
The question
Kenora—Rainy River: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 35.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | NDP | OLP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKenora—Rainy River | 57.2% | 21.7% | 18.3% | 2.4% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 41.4% +15.7 | 19.5% +2.1 | 32.3% −13.9 | 4.0% −1.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
Kenora—Rainy River, a mixed riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 41-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 57% vote share, against 22% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hon. Greg Rickford
Sits with PC
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GREG RICKFORD Elected | PC | 10,541 | 59.9 | — |
| RUDY TURTLE | NDP | 3,308 | 18.8 | — |
| ANTHONY LEEK | OLP | 3,072 | 17.5 | — |
| JOHN REDINS | GP | 336 | 1.9 | — |
| RANDY RICCI | OTH | 333 | 1.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029