Riding profile
Kiiwetinoong
The question
Kiiwetinoong: a safe seat for the NDP?
Editorial read
Kiiwetinoong, a rural riding in Ontario, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 64% vote share, against 21% for the PC Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Sol Mamakwa
Sits with NDP
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 43.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | PC | OLP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKiiwetinoong | 64.1% | 20.8% | 11.4% | 2.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 20.3% +43.9 | 40.2% −19.5 | 33.4% −21.9 | 3.9% −1.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOL MAMAKWA Elected | NDP | 3,512 | 62.2 | — |
| WAYLON SCOTT | PC | 1,438 | 25.5 | — |
| MANUELA MICHELIZZI | OLP | 409 | 7.2 | — |
| CAROLYN SPICER | GP | 152 | 2.7 | — |
| THERESA LEPPICH | OTH | 136 | 2.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029