Riding profile
London West
The question
London West: a safe seat for the NDP?
Current forecast
NDP
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 15.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| NDP | PC | OLP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLondon West | 49.6% | 34.6% | 12.0% | 3.3% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 19.5% +30.1 | 41.4% −6.8 | 32.3% −20.2 | 4.0% −0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
London West, a mixed riding in Ontario, elected a member with the NDP in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the NDP ahead at 50% vote share, against 35% for the PC Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Peggy Sattler
Sits with NDP
Previous election · 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PEGGY SATTLER Elected | NDP | 26,589 | 49.2 | — |
| BETH ALLISON | PC | 18,892 | 35.0 | — |
| BAQAR KHAN | OLP | 5,991 | 11.1 | — |
| JIM JOHNSTON | GP | 1,021 | 1.9 | — |
| SHANE DALE | OTH | 636 | 1.2 | — |
| KEN BYMA | OTH | 572 | 1.1 | — |
| TIM HODGES | OTH | 179 | 0.3 | — |
| TIMOTHY HAMMER | IND | 153 | 0.3 | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029