Riding profile
Markham—Unionville
The question
Markham—Unionville: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Markham—Unionville, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 58% vote share, against 35% for the Ontario Liberals, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Billy Pang
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 23.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMarkham—Unionville | 58.1% | 35.1% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +17.8 | 33.4% +1.7 | 20.3% −15.6 | 3.9% −2.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BILLY PANG Elected | PC | 20,113 | 61.2 | — |
| JAGBIR DOSANJH | OLP | 10,158 | 30.9 | — |
| SAMEER QURESHI | NDP | 1,298 | 4.0 | — |
| CHRIS MADSEN | GP | 772 | 2.4 | — |
| NICK BOUDREAU | OTH | 545 | 1.7 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029