Scarborough North
Provincial riding · Ontario · City of Toronto
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 10.6 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | OLP | NDP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarborough North | 48.3% | 37.7% | 11.9% | 1.1% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.6%+7.7 | 30.7%+7.0 | 20.8%−8.9 | 4.3%−3.2 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. Raymond Sung Joon Cho · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 18.2 points, with 37.0% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 10.6 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raymond Cho Elected | PC | 13,031 | 53.0 |
| Anita Anandarajan | OLP | 8,548 | 34.8 |
| Thadsha Navaneethan | NDP | 2,554 | 10.4 |
| Zdravko Gunjevic | GP | 465 | 1.9 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Scarborough—Guildwood OLP, safe seat
- Scarborough—Agincourt OLP, toss-up
- Scarborough Centre OLP, competitive
- Scarborough—Rouge Park PC, toss-up
- Markham—Thornhill PC, safe seat
- Scarborough Southwest NDP, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated