Riding profile

Scarborough North

Provincial riding — ON · Urban · on tor

The question

Scarborough North: a safe seat for the PC Party?

Editorial read

Scarborough North, an urban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 18-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 47% vote share, against 41% for the Ontario Liberals, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Hon. Raymond Sung Joon Cho

Sits with PC

Parliament
44th

Current forecast

PC

Competitive

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
6.1
P(close race)
26%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • PC 46.7%
  • OLP 40.7%
  • NDP 11.2%
  • GP 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

PC OLP NDP GP
HereScarborough North 46.7%40.7%11.2%1.3%
Provincial averageOntario 40.2% +6.5 33.4% +7.3 20.3% −9.0 3.9% −2.6

Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · ON 2025

Won by
PC
Margin
18.2 pts
Turnout
37.0%
Margin shift vs current projection
-12.2 pts

Detailed result · ON 2025

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
RAYMOND CHO Elected PC 13,031 53.0 —
ANITA ANANDARAJAN OLP 8,548 34.8 —
THADSHA NAVANEETHAN NDP 2,554 10.4 —
ZDRAVKO GUNJEVIC GP 465 1.9 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
on_2029