Riding profile
Timmins
The question
Timmins: a safe seat for the PC Party?
Editorial read
Timmins, a mixed riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 48-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 65% vote share, against 24% for the NDP, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hon. George Pirie
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 41.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | NDP | OLP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereTimmins | 64.8% | 23.5% | 9.9% | 1.4% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +24.5 | 20.3% +3.3 | 33.4% −23.5 | 3.9% −2.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GEORGE PIRIE Elected | PC | 9,371 | 68.4 | — |
| COREY LEPAGE | NDP | 2,732 | 19.9 | — |
| DOMINIC CASTO | OLP | 1,127 | 8.2 | — |
| MARIE-JOSÉE YELLE | GP | 248 | 1.8 | — |
| DAVID FARRELL | OTH | 220 | 1.6 | — |
Around the region
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029