Timmins
Provincial riding · Ontario · Northern Ontario
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the PC Party a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 40.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
Compared with the average
| PC | NDP | OLP | OTH | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timmins | 64.3% | 24.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.6%+23.7 | 20.8%+3.4 | 30.7%−22.7 | 4.3%−1.8 |
Simple average of the 124 ridings, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Current member
Hon. George Pirie · PC
Previous election (2025)
The PC Party won by 48.5 points, with 41.9% turnout.
Our current projection: the PC Party ahead by 40.1 points.
Candidates and votes in 2025
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| George Pirie Elected | PC | 9,371 | 68.4 |
| Corey Lepage | NDP | 2,732 | 19.9 |
| Dominic Casto | OLP | 1,127 | 8.2 |
| Marie-Josée Yelle | GP | 248 | 1.8 |
| David Farrell | OTH | 220 | 1.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Timiskaming—Cochrane NDP, safe seat
- Sudbury NDP, safe seat
- Nickel Belt NDP, safe seat
- Nipissing PC, safe seat
- Parry Sound—Muskoka PC, toss-up
- Algoma—Manitoulin PC, competitive
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated