Riding profile
Whitby
The question
Whitby: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Whitby, a suburban riding in Ontario, elected a member with the PC Party in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the PC Party ahead at 45% vote share, against 44% for the Ontario Liberals, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Lorne Coe
Sits with PC
Current forecast
PC
Toss-up
- Probability
- 76%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.5
- P(close race)
- 99%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| PC | OLP | NDP | GP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWhitby | 45.0% | 43.9% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageOntario | 40.2% +4.8 | 33.4% +10.5 | 20.3% −11.6 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 124 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · ON 2025
Detailed result · ON 2025
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LORNE COE Elected | PC | 24,803 | 48.1 | — |
| ROGER GORDON | OLP | 20,440 | 39.6 | — |
| JAMIE NYE | NDP | 4,097 | 8.0 | — |
| STEVEN TOMAN | GP | 1,376 | 2.7 | — |
| RALPH BLANK | OTH | 844 | 1.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
on_2029