Riding profile
Altrincham and Sale West
The question
Altrincham and Sale West: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Altrincham and Sale West, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 27% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Mr Connor Rand
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAltrincham and Sale West | 27.5% | 27.4% | 19.8% | 13.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +5.8 | 18.9% +8.5 | 25.3% −5.5 | 11.8% +2.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rand Elected | Labour | 20,798 | 40.4 | — |
| Oliver Carroll | Conservative | 16,624 | 32.3 | — |
| Paul Swansborough | Reform UK | 4,961 | 9.6 | — |
| Jane Brophy | Lib Dems | 4,727 | 9.2 | — |
| Geraldine Coggins | Green | 3,699 | 7.2 | — |
| Faisal Kabir | Other | 643 | 1.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029