Riding profile
Worsley and Eccles
The question
Worsley and Eccles: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.8
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWorsley and Eccles | 33.9% | 33.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +12.0 | 25.4% +7.6 | 19.3% −6.3 | 10.8% −1.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Worsley and Eccles, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 34% vote share, against 33% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Michael Wheeler
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wheeler Elected | Labour | 20,277 | 47.7 | — |
| Craig Birtwistle | Reform UK | 9,186 | 21.6 | — |
| Bradley Mitchell | Conservative | 6,791 | 16.0 | — |
| David Jones | Green | 3,283 | 7.7 | — |
| Jemma De Vincenzo | Lib Dems | 1,851 | 4.3 | — |
| Nas Barghouti | Other | 466 | 1.1 | — |
| Danny Moloney | Other | 448 | 1.1 | — |
| Sally Griffiths | Other | 241 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029