Riding profile
Stretford and Urmston
The question
Stretford and Urmston: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Stretford and Urmston, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 34% vote share, against 23% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Andrew Western
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereStretford and Urmston | 33.7% | 22.9% | 17.4% | 10.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +12.0 | 25.3% −2.4 | 11.8% +5.6 | 18.9% −7.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Western Elected | Labour | 22,642 | 49.2 | — |
| Mark Cornes | Conservative | 6,492 | 14.1 | — |
| Charlotte Faulkner | Reform UK | 5,485 | 11.9 | — |
| Khalila Chaudry | Other | 4,461 | 9.7 | — |
| Daniel Jerrome | Green | 4,398 | 9.6 | — |
| Mark Clayton | Lib Dems | 2,216 | 4.8 | — |
| Jim Newell | Other | 308 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029