Riding profile
Manchester Rusholme
The question
Manchester Rusholme: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereManchester Rusholme | 38.2% | 32.0% | 13.6% | 12.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +16.4 | 10.8% +21.2 | 25.4% −11.8 | 5.0% +7.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Manchester Rusholme, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 32% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Afzal Khan
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afzal Khan Elected | Labour | 15,054 | 51.9 | — |
| Thirza Asanga-Rae | Green | 6,819 | 23.5 | — |
| Mohhamed Bilal | Other | 3,660 | 12.6 | — |
| Alexandra Marsanu | Conservative | 1,678 | 5.8 | — |
| Joel McGuigan | Reform UK | 1,313 | 4.5 | — |
| Faraz Bhatti | Other | 342 | 1.2 | — |
| Peter Clifford | Other | 167 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029