Riding profile
Stockport
The question
Stockport: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Green | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereStockport | 37.7% | 25.5% | 13.0% | 9.5% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +15.9 | 25.4% +0.1 | 10.8% +2.2 | 19.3% −9.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Stockport, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 38% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Navendu Mishra
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navendu Mishra Elected | Labour | 21,787 | 49.9 | — |
| Lynn Schofield | Reform UK | 6,517 | 14.9 | — |
| Oliver Johnstone | Conservative | 4,967 | 11.4 | — |
| Helena Mellish | Green | 4,865 | 11.1 | — |
| Wendy Meikle | Lib Dems | 3,724 | 8.5 | — |
| Ayesha Khan | Other | 1,630 | 3.7 | — |
| Ashley Walker | Other | 193 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029