Riding profile
Gorton and Denton
The question
Gorton and Denton: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Gorton and Denton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Green Party ahead at 30% vote share, against 28% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Hannah Spencer
Sits with Green
Current forecast
Green
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Green | Labour | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGorton and Denton | 30.2% | 28.5% | 24.5% | 7.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.8% +18.4 | 21.7% +6.8 | 25.3% −0.8 | 4.8% +2.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Gwynne Elected | Labour | 18,555 | 50.8 | — |
| Lee Moffitt | Reform UK | 5,142 | 14.1 | — |
| Amanda Gardner | Green | 4,810 | 13.2 | — |
| Amir Burney | Other | 3,766 | 10.3 | — |
| Ruth Welsh | Conservative | 2,888 | 7.9 | — |
| John Reid | Lib Dems | 1,399 | 3.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029