Riding profile
Gorton and Denton
The question
Gorton and Denton: will Green lose this seat to Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGorton and Denton | 33.1% | 25.9% | 23.9% | 7.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +11.3 | 10.8% +15.1 | 25.4% −1.4 | 5.0% +2.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Gorton and Denton, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 26% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hannah Spencer
Sits with Green
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Gwynne Elected | Labour | 18,555 | 50.8 | — |
| Lee Moffitt | Reform UK | 5,142 | 14.1 | — |
| Amanda Gardner | Green | 4,810 | 13.2 | — |
| Amir Burney | Other | 3,766 | 10.3 | — |
| Ruth Welsh | Conservative | 2,888 | 7.9 | — |
| John Reid | Lib Dems | 1,399 | 3.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029