Riding profile

Wythenshawe and Sale East

UK constituency — England · Urban · north west

The question

Wythenshawe and Sale East: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Wythenshawe and Sale East, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 35% vote share, against 26% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Mike Kane

Sits with Labour

Since
2014-02-13
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
7.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 35.4%
  • Reform UK 25.8%
  • Green 17.4%
  • Conservative 11.6%
  • Lib Dems 5.9%
  • Other 3.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Reform UK Green Conservative
HereWythenshawe and Sale East 35.4%25.8%17.4%11.6%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +13.7 25.3% +0.4 11.8% +5.6 18.9% −7.3

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
37.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-29.6 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Mike Kane Elected Labour 20,596 52.6
Julie Fousert Reform UK 5,986 15.3
Sarah Beament Conservative 5,392 13.8
Melanie Earp Green 4,133 10.6
Simon Lepori Lib Dems 1,985 5.1
John Barstow Other 714 1.8
Hilary Salt Other 326 0.8

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
113,145
Median age
37
Employment rate
82.8%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029