Riding profile
Bassetlaw
The question
Bassetlaw: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Bassetlaw, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 37% vote share, against 24% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jo White
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBassetlaw | 36.6% | 23.7% | 23.0% | 9.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +11.3 | 21.7% +2.0 | 18.9% +4.1 | 11.8% −2.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jo White Elected | Labour | 18,476 | 41.2 | — |
| Brendan Clarke-Smith | Conservative | 12,708 | 28.3 | — |
| Frank Ward | Reform UK | 9,751 | 21.7 | — |
| Helen Tamblyn-Saville | Lib Dems | 1,996 | 4.5 | — |
| Rachel Reeves | Green | 1,947 | 4.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029