Riding profile
Doncaster North
The question
Doncaster North: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDoncaster North | 32.7% | 19.8% | 19.6% | 13.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +10.9 | 25.4% −5.5 | 19.3% +0.3 | 5.0% +8.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Doncaster North, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 33% vote share, against 20% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ed Miliband
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Miliband Elected | Labour | 16,231 | 52.4 | — |
| Glenn Bluff | Conservative | 7,105 | 22.9 | — |
| Dave Bettney | Other | 1,960 | 6.3 | — |
| Tony Nicholson | Green | 1,778 | 5.7 | — |
| Frank Calladine | Other | 1,160 | 3.7 | — |
| Christopher Dawson | Other | 1,059 | 3.4 | — |
| Jonathan Harston | Lib Dems | 1,045 | 3.4 | — |
| Catherine Briggs | Other | 452 | 1.5 | — |
| Andy Hiles | Other | 212 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029