Riding profile
Doncaster North
The question
Doncaster North: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Doncaster North, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 27% vote share, against 25% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Ed Miliband
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.9
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDoncaster North | 27.4% | 25.0% | 18.0% | 13.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +5.7 | 25.3% −0.3 | 18.9% −0.9 | 4.8% +8.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Miliband Elected | Labour | 16,231 | 52.4 | — |
| Glenn Bluff | Conservative | 7,105 | 22.9 | — |
| Dave Bettney | Other | 1,960 | 6.3 | — |
| Tony Nicholson | Green | 1,778 | 5.7 | — |
| Frank Calladine | Other | 1,160 | 3.7 | — |
| Christopher Dawson | Other | 1,059 | 3.4 | — |
| Jonathan Harston | Lib Dems | 1,045 | 3.4 | — |
| Catherine Briggs | Other | 452 | 1.5 | — |
| Andy Hiles | Other | 212 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029