Riding profile
Bedford
The question
Bedford: a safe seat for Labour?
Editorial read
Bedford, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 30% vote share, against 23% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mohammad Yasin
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBedford | 30.1% | 23.4% | 18.1% | 11.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +8.4 | 25.3% −1.9 | 18.9% −0.8 | 11.6% −0.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yasin Elected | Labour | 18,342 | 45.1 | — |
| Pinder Chauhan | Conservative | 8,912 | 21.9 | — |
| Matt Lansley | Reform UK | 4,548 | 11.2 | — |
| Henry Vann | Lib Dems | 4,025 | 9.9 | — |
| Ben Foley | Green | 2,394 | 5.9 | — |
| Tarek Javed | Other | 1,442 | 3.5 | — |
| Prince Chaudhury | Other | 996 | 2.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029