Riding profile
Bedford
The question
Bedford: a safe seat for Labour?
Current forecast
Labour
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 7.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereBedford | 29.6% | 22.4% | 18.8% | 11.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +7.8 | 25.4% −3.0 | 19.3% −0.6 | 11.4% +0.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Bedford, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 23-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 30% vote share, against 22% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Mohammad Yasin
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yasin Elected | Labour | 18,342 | 45.1 | — |
| Pinder Chauhan | Conservative | 8,912 | 21.9 | — |
| Matt Lansley | Reform UK | 4,548 | 11.2 | — |
| Henry Vann | Lib Dems | 4,025 | 9.9 | — |
| Ben Foley | Green | 2,394 | 5.9 | — |
| Tarek Javed | Other | 1,442 | 3.5 | — |
| Prince Chaudhury | Other | 996 | 2.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029