Wellingborough and Rushden
Westminster constituency · England · East Midlands
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Labour a 52% chance of winning, with an average lead of 2.0 points.
Toss-up. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 95%.
Compared with the average
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wellingborough and Rushden | 31.0% | 30.8% | 23.2% | 8.8% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 26.5%+4.5 | 22.3%+8.5 | 20.0%+3.1 | 9.7%−0.9 |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 113,555 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 40 |
| Employment rate | 71.3% |
Current member
Gen Kitchen · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 12.5 points.
Our current projection: Labour ahead by 2.0 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gen Kitchen Elected | Labour | 17,734 | 40.3 |
| David Goss | Conservative | 12,248 | 27.9 |
| Ben Habib | Reform UK | 9,456 | 21.5 |
| Paul Mannion | Green | 2,704 | 6.2 |
| Christopher Townsend | Lib Dems | 1,570 | 3.6 |
| Jeremy Brittin | Other | 273 | 0.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Kettering Labour, toss-up
- Corby and East Northamptonshire Labour, toss-up
- Milton Keynes North Labour, competitive
- Bedford Labour, safe seat
- Northampton North Labour, safe seat
- North Bedfordshire Conservative, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated