Riding profile
Wellingborough and Rushden
The question
Wellingborough and Rushden: will Labour lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Wellingborough and Rushden, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 12-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 33% vote share, against 25% for Labour, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Gen Kitchen
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWellingborough and Rushden | 32.7% | 24.7% | 23.6% | 11.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +7.4 | 21.7% +3.0 | 18.9% +4.7 | 11.8% −0.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gen Kitchen Elected | Labour | 17,734 | 40.3 | — |
| David Goss | Conservative | 12,248 | 27.9 | — |
| Ben Habib | Reform UK | 9,456 | 21.5 | — |
| Paul Mannion | Green | 2,704 | 6.2 | — |
| Christopher Townsend | Lib Dems | 1,570 | 3.6 | — |
| Jeremy Brittin | Other | 273 | 0.6 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029