Riding profile
Northampton North
The question
Northampton North: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorthampton North | 28.3% | 27.0% | 19.7% | 11.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.8% +6.5 | 25.4% +1.7 | 19.3% +0.3 | 10.8% +0.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Northampton North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 28% vote share, against 27% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Lucy Rigby
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Rigby Elected | Labour | 18,209 | 43.5 | — |
| Dan Bennett | Conservative | 9,195 | 22.0 | — |
| Antony Antoniou | Reform UK | 7,010 | 16.8 | — |
| Eishar Bassan | Green | 2,558 | 6.1 | — |
| Christopher Leggett | Lib Dems | 2,251 | 5.4 | — |
| Khalid Razzaq | Other | 1,531 | 3.7 | — |
| Paul Clark | Other | 1,059 | 2.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029