Riding profile
Northampton North
The question
Northampton North: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Northampton North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 22-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Lucy Rigby
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorthampton North | 28.8% | 28.5% | 18.4% | 10.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +7.1 | 25.3% +3.2 | 18.9% −0.5 | 11.8% −1.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Rigby Elected | Labour | 18,209 | 43.5 | — |
| Dan Bennett | Conservative | 9,195 | 22.0 | — |
| Antony Antoniou | Reform UK | 7,010 | 16.8 | — |
| Eishar Bassan | Green | 2,558 | 6.1 | — |
| Christopher Leggett | Lib Dems | 2,251 | 5.4 | — |
| Khalid Razzaq | Other | 1,531 | 3.7 | — |
| Paul Clark | Other | 1,059 | 2.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029