Riding profile
Kettering
The question
Kettering: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Kettering, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 28% vote share, against 23% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Rosie Wrighting
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.9
- P(close race)
- 71%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereKettering | 28.1% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 18.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +2.8 | 18.9% +4.3 | 21.7% −0.2 | 11.8% +6.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosie Wrighting Elected | Labour | 18,009 | 35.9 | — |
| Philip Hollobone | Conservative | 14,189 | 28.3 | — |
| Crispian Besley | Reform UK | 8,468 | 16.9 | — |
| Emily Fedorowycz | Green | 7,004 | 13.9 | — |
| Sarah Ryan | Lib Dems | 1,357 | 2.7 | — |
| Jim Hakewill | Other | 1,057 | 2.1 | — |
| Matthew Murphy | Other | 85 | 0.2 | — |
| Jehad Abduramadan | Other | 62 | 0.1 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Wellingborough and RushdenReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Corby and East NorthamptonshireReform UK Toss-upOpen →
- Northampton NorthReform UK Toss-upOpen →
- Rutland and StamfordConservative Safe seatOpen →
- Northampton SouthReform UK Safe seatOpen →
- Harborough, Oadby and WigstonConservative Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029