Riding profile
Corby and East Northamptonshire
The question
Corby and East Northamptonshire: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Corby and East Northamptonshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for Labour, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Lee Barron
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCorby and East Northamptonshire | 29.8% | 26.6% | 24.6% | 9.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +4.5 | 21.7% +4.9 | 18.9% +5.7 | 11.8% −1.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Barron Elected | Labour | 21,020 | 42.4 | — |
| Tom Pursglove | Conservative | 14,689 | 29.6 | — |
| Eddie McDonald | Reform UK | 8,760 | 17.7 | — |
| Lee Forster | Green | 2,507 | 5.1 | — |
| Chris Lofts | Lib Dems | 2,191 | 4.4 | — |
| Karen Blott | Other | 422 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029