Riding profile
North Bedfordshire
The question
North Bedfordshire: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
North Bedfordshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 31% vote share, against 30% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Richard Fuller
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Conservative
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.7
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | Lib Dems | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Bedfordshire | 31.3% | 29.6% | 16.5% | 11.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 18.9% +12.4 | 25.3% +4.3 | 21.7% −5.2 | 11.6% +0.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Fuller Elected | Conservative | 19,981 | 38.8 | — |
| Uday Nagaraju | Labour | 14,567 | 28.3 | — |
| Pippa Clayton | Reform UK | 8,433 | 16.4 | — |
| Joanna Szaub-Newton | Lib Dems | 5,553 | 10.8 | — |
| Philippa Fleming | Green | 3,027 | 5.9 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029