Monday, November 2, 2026
U.S. midterms in 1 day

Huntingdon

Westminster constituency · England · East of England

Forecast of November 2, 2026

Our forecast gives the Conservatives a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 7.2 points.

Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 15%.

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 31.8%
  • Labour 23.8%
  • Reform UK 23.2%
  • Lib Dems 8.8%
  • Green 8.4%
  • Other 3.7%

Thin vertical mark: 2024 result.

Compared with the average

Conservative Labour Reform UK Lib Dems
Huntingdon 31.8%23.8%23.2%8.8%
National averageUnited Kingdom 20.0%+11.7 26.5%−2.7 22.3%+0.9 9.9%−1.1

Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.

Local profile

Population110,470
Median age42
Employment rate79.7%

Source: Office for National Statistics: mid-2022 population, January 2026 labour market

Current member

Ben Obese-Jecty · Conservative

In office since July 4, 2024. 59th Parliament.

Previous election (2024)

The Conservatives won by 2.9 points.

Our current projection: the Conservatives ahead by 7.2 points.

Candidates and votes in 2024

Candidate Party Votes %
Ben Obese-Jecty Elected Conservative 18,257 35.1
Alex Bulat Labour 16,758 32.2
Sarah Smith Reform UK 8,039 15.4
Mark Argent Lib Dems 4,821 9.3
Georgie Hunt Green 3,042 5.8
Chan Abraham Other 1,123 2.2

Nearby ridings

Party ahead and how sure the projection is.

Watch list

The tightest races

The smallest projected gaps between the top two.

  1. Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shireSNP76%1.2-point gap
  2. Bury St Edmunds and StowmarketReform UK46%1.4-point gap
  3. Romsey and Southampton NorthConservative63%1.4-point gap
Forecast updated