Riding profile

Huntingdon

UK constituency — England · Mixed · east of england

The question

Huntingdon: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Huntingdon, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 3-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Conservatives ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Ben Obese-Jecty

Sits with Conservative

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Conservative

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
1.0
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Conservative 29.0%
  • Reform UK 28.1%
  • Labour 19.3%
  • Green 10.3%
  • Lib Dems 9.7%
  • Other 3.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Conservative Reform UK Labour Green
HereHuntingdon 29.0%28.1%19.3%10.3%
National averageUnited Kingdom 18.9% +10.1 25.3% +2.7 21.7% −2.3 11.8% −1.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Conservative
Margin
2.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-1.9 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Ben Obese-Jecty Elected Conservative 18,257 35.1
Alex Bulat Labour 16,758 32.2
Sarah Smith Reform UK 8,039 15.4
Mark Argent Lib Dems 4,821 9.3
Georgie Hunt Green 3,042 5.8
Chan Abraham Other 1,123 2.2

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
110,470
Median age
42
Employment rate
79.7%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029