Riding profile
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire
The question
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Reform UK | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSt Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire | 34.0% | 21.8% | 21.5% | 8.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +22.6 | 25.4% −3.6 | 19.3% +2.2 | 10.8% −2.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
St Neots and Mid Cambridgeshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 34% vote share, against 22% for Reform UK, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Ian Sollom
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Sollom Elected | Lib Dems | 19,517 | 36.9 | — |
| Anthony Browne | Conservative | 14,896 | 28.2 | — |
| Marianna Masters | Labour | 6,918 | 13.1 | — |
| Guy Lachlan | Reform UK | 5,673 | 10.7 | — |
| Stephen Ferguson | Other | 2,941 | 5.6 | — |
| Kathryn Fisher | Green | 2,663 | 5.0 | — |
| Bev White | Other | 274 | 0.5 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029