Riding profile
South Cambridgeshire
The question
South Cambridgeshire: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Editorial read
South Cambridgeshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 38% vote share, against 22% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Pippa Heylings
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 16.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSouth Cambridgeshire | 38.0% | 21.8% | 19.4% | 9.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +26.4 | 18.9% +2.9 | 25.3% −6.0 | 11.8% −2.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pippa Heylings Elected | Lib Dems | 25,704 | 46.8 | — |
| Chris Carter-Chapman | Conservative | 15,063 | 27.4 | — |
| Luke Viner | Labour | 6,106 | 11.1 | — |
| Harrison Edwards | Reform UK | 4,897 | 8.9 | — |
| Miranda Fyfe | Green | 2,656 | 4.8 | — |
| James Gordon | Other | 459 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029