Riding profile
South Cambridgeshire
The question
South Cambridgeshire: a safe seat for the Lib Dems?
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSouth Cambridgeshire | 43.1% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 8.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.4% +31.7 | 19.3% +1.5 | 25.4% −6.3 | 10.8% −2.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
South Cambridgeshire, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 19-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 43% vote share, against 21% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Pippa Heylings
Sits with Lib Dems
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pippa Heylings Elected | Lib Dems | 25,704 | 46.8 | — |
| Chris Carter-Chapman | Conservative | 15,063 | 27.4 | — |
| Luke Viner | Labour | 6,106 | 11.1 | — |
| Harrison Edwards | Reform UK | 4,897 | 8.9 | — |
| Miranda Fyfe | Green | 2,656 | 4.8 | — |
| James Gordon | Other | 459 | 0.8 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029