Riding profile

Cambridge

UK constituency — England · Urban · east of england

The question

Cambridge: a safe seat for Labour?

Editorial read

Cambridge, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 35% vote share, against 22% for the Green Party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Daniel Zeichner

Sits with Labour

Since
2015-05-07
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Labour

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
10.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 34.6%
  • Green 22.2%
  • Lib Dems 18.6%
  • Reform UK 11.1%
  • Conservative 8.4%
  • Other 4.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Green Lib Dems Reform UK
HereCambridge 34.6%22.2%18.6%11.1%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +12.9 11.8% +10.4 11.6% +7.0 25.3% −14.3

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
26.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-15.5 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Daniel Zeichner Elected Labour 19,614 46.6
Cheney Payne Lib Dems 8,536 20.3
Sarah Nicmanis Green 6,842 16.3
Shane Manning Conservative 5,073 12.1
Khalid Abu-Tayyem Other 951 2.3
David Carmona Other 819 1.9
Keith Garrett Other 265 0.6

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
125,429
Median age
31
Employment rate
75.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029